Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Tom Bombadil
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Papa C               6    55.0    1    0.00     0.0   67    64           67    +0
2    Twice Golden         5    57.0    2    0.05     0.0   75    68           68    -7
3    Rock Fall            2    56.0    3    0.85     0.0   78    71           71    -7
4    Tom Bombadil         5    54.0    4    1.65     0.0   67    67           67    +0
5    Eventidor            6    57.0    5    2.15     0.0   71    72           72    +1
6    Temperate Zone       2    59.5    6    3.75     0.0   85    75           75    -10
7    Question Master      2    54.0    7    6.05     0.0   74    62           64    -10
8    Catch The Tune       6    56.5    8    6.10     0.0   73    67           67    -6
9    Twice As Perfect     3    55.0    9    6.40     5.0   76    54           66    -10
10   Cyber Time           3    60.0    10   7.30     5.0   77    64           67    -10
11   Coromandel           4    52.0    11   9.40     2.0   54    54           54    +0
12   Space News           4    52.0    12   10.10    2.0   56    54           54    -2
99   Lord Minver          3    52.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     48           48    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Papa C 67 73 67 +6 0.0 -
2 Twice Golden 75 84 68 +16 0.0 -
3 Rock Fall 78 80 71 +9 0.0 -
4 Tom Bombadil Line 67 56 67 -11 0.0
5 Eventidor 71 89 72 +17 0.0 -
6 Temperate Zone 85 74 75 -1 0.0 -
7 Question Master 74 70 64 +6 0.0 -
8 Catch The Tune 73 70 67 +3 0.0 -
9 Twice As Perfect 76 54 66 -12 5.0 -
10 Cyber Time 77 81 67 +14 5.0 -
11 Coromandel 54 59 54 +5 2.0 -
12 Space News 56 52 54 -2 2.0 -
99 Lord Minver - 53 48 +5 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points