Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Count Marsh
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Parmenion            5    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   71    62           71    +0
2    William Rufus        2    60.5    2    1.10     0.0   80    75           75    -5
3    Count Marsh          7    59.5    3    2.10     0.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Giambattista         3    56.5    4    2.40     2.5   66    60           60    -6
5    Roy's July Magic     4    54.5    5    4.10     1.5   65    57           57    -8
6    Impartial            4    52.5    6    9.50     1.5   58    52           52    -6
7    Gentleman's Way      6    60.5    7    10.80    0.0   74    71           71    -3
8    L'Ultimo             2    58.0    8    11.80    0.0   75    66           66    -9
9    Oh My Word Its Roy   3    52.5    9    12.60    2.5   49    50           50    +1
10   White Cedar          6    58.0    10   13.50    0.0   69    66           66    -3
99   Quick Star           6    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Parmenion 71 78 71 +7 0.0 -
2 William Rufus 80 88 75 +13 0.0 -
3 Count Marsh Line 72 52 72 -20 0.0
4 Giambattista 66 87 60 +27 2.5 -
5 Roy's July Magic 65 48 57 -9 1.5 -
6 Impartial 58 50 52 -2 1.5 -
7 Gentleman's Way 74 73 71 +2 0.0 -
8 L'Ultimo 75 61 66 -5 0.0 -
9 Oh My Word Its Roy 49 50 50 ✓ Match 2.5 -
10 White Cedar 69 73 66 +7 0.0 -
99 Quick Star - 60 64 -4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points