Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Aspect
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Numzaan 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 62 73 68 +6 2 Laughing William 5 60.0 2 0.40 0.0 77 78 78 +1 3 Oliver 5 60.0 3 2.65 0.0 - 75 75 +75 4 Aspect 2 60.0 4 3.15 0.0 75 75 75 +0 5 Run For Me 2 60.0 5 4.40 0.0 78 73 73 -5 6 State Of Shock 3 60.0 6 4.50 2.5 66 68 68 +2 7 Red William 5 60.0 7 5.25 0.0 75 73 73 -2 8 Cafe Culture 3 60.0 8 6.75 2.5 73 68 68 -5 9 Mighty Mac 5 60.0 9 9.00 0.0 79 73 73 -6 10 Marree Man 3 60.0 10 9.30 2.5 59 68 68 +9 11 Big Poppa 3 60.0 11 9.50 2.5 - 68 68 +68 12 Destiny's Angel 3 60.0 12 10.75 2.5 - 68 68 +68 13 Tambourine Man 5 60.0 13 17.00 0.0 - 73 73 +73 14 Jacksway 5 60.0 14 99.99 0.0 43 73 73 +30 99 Global Movement 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 99 San Pedro 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Numzaan | 62 | 79 | 68 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Laughing William | 77 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Oliver | - | 97 | 75 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Aspect Line | 75 | 93 | 75 | +18 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Run For Me | 78 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | State Of Shock | 66 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Red William | 75 | 83 | 73 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cafe Culture | 73 | 118 | 68 | +50 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mighty Mac | 79 | 52 | 73 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Marree Man | 59 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Big Poppa | - | 52 | 68 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Destiny's Angel | - | 92 | 68 | +24 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Tambourine Man | - | 64 | 73 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Jacksway | 43 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Movement | - | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | San Pedro | - | 82 | 73 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points