Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Caesura
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Monarchy             5    60.5    1    0.00     0.0   74    70           74    +0
2    Caesura              6    59.0    2    1.20     0.0   71    71           71    +0
3    Etiquette            3    55.5    3    1.70     6.0   76    51           66    -10
4    Living Waters        5    53.5    4    3.10     0.0   65    58           58    -7
5    Teichman             5    54.0    5    3.40     0.0   64    58           58    -6
6    Humble Tune          4    60.5    6    4.20     3.0   75    65           65    -10
7    Maxiumus             4    58.0    7    5.90     3.0   70    59           60    -10
8    Ruby Slippers        6    48.0    8    7.10     0.0   56    45           46    -10
9    Tom's Act            3    54.0    9    8.15     6.0   73    45           63    -10
10   Bugsy Malone         5    60.5    10   11.05    0.0   74    70           70    -4
99   Royal Mazarin        4    57.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     57           57    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Monarchy 74 77 74 +3 0.0 -
2 Caesura Line 71 81 71 +10 0.0
3 Etiquette 76 83 66 +17 6.0 -
4 Living Waters 65 59 58 +1 0.0 -
5 Teichman 64 73 58 +15 0.0 -
6 Humble Tune 75 58 65 -7 3.0 -
7 Maxiumus 70 88 60 +28 3.0 -
8 Ruby Slippers 56 54 46 +8 0.0 -
9 Tom's Act 73 64 63 +1 6.0 -
10 Bugsy Malone 74 49 70 -21 0.0 -
99 Royal Mazarin - 70 57 +13 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points