Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 24 MARCH MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
El Romiachi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Brenden James 6 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 64 67 +0 2 El Romiachi 8 60.0 2 1.50 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Nkalanzinzi 3 52.0 3 4.00 2.5 52 45 45 -7 4 Gunsmoke 3 55.0 4 4.05 2.5 58 51 51 -7 5 Pedro 6 55.5 5 6.30 0.0 59 56 56 -3 6 Tuk Tuk 3 57.0 6 6.40 2.5 62 54 54 -8 7 Chariot Master 4 55.0 7 6.65 1.5 61 52 52 -9 8 Flying Peter 4 60.0 8 6.90 1.5 68 62 62 -6 9 Cool Runnings 4 57.5 9 9.15 1.5 63 57 57 -6 10 Tartan Dancer 5 52.0 10 10.65 0.0 51 49 49 -2 11 Power Surge 3 54.0 11 11.65 2.5 56 48 48 -8 12 Che Vincera 2 60.0 12 11.75 0.0 73 65 65 -8 13 Burning Wings 4 60.5 13 13.75 1.5 69 63 63 -6 14 Dammi 2 61.0 14 15.00 0.0 76 67 67 -9 15 Can Col 2 61.0 15 16.25 0.0 76 67 67 -9 99 Displace Time 3 52.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 45 45 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brenden James | 67 | 98 | 67 | +31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | El Romiachi Line | 68 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Nkalanzinzi | 52 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Gunsmoke | 58 | 68 | 51 | +17 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Pedro | 59 | 72 | 56 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tuk Tuk | 62 | 61 | 54 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Chariot Master | 61 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Flying Peter | 68 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cool Runnings | 63 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tartan Dancer | 51 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Power Surge | 56 | 53 | 48 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Che Vincera | 73 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Burning Wings | 69 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Dammi | 76 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Can Col | 76 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Displace Time | - | 50 | 45 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points