Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACING240 FOR RACING. FOR YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
American Biscuit
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 American Biscuit 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 77 77 77 +0 2 Free Movement 3 60.0 2 1.50 3.0 73 80 80 +7 3 Celtic Rush 5 60.0 3 4.00 0.0 69 84 84 +15 4 Us Open 3 60.0 4 4.05 3.0 67 78 78 +11 5 Williamson 2 57.5 5 4.50 0.0 59 78 78 +19 6 Mambo Come Tesio 3 60.0 6 5.00 3.0 - 77 77 +77 7 Kanimambo 5 60.0 7 6.75 0.0 67 83 83 +16 8 Skyjet 2 60.0 8 6.80 0.0 62 83 83 +21 9 Lorna Lilly 3 57.0 9 15.00 3.0 55 71 71 +16 10 California Boy 3 60.0 10 15.75 3.0 64 77 77 +13 11 Blyde River 4 57.5 11 16.50 1.5 48 75 75 +27 12 All Black Captain 3 60.0 12 30.00 3.0 46 77 77 +31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Biscuit Line | 77 | 65 | 77 | -12 | 3.0 | ||
| 2 | Free Movement | 73 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Celtic Rush | 69 | 69 | 84 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Us Open | 67 | 60 | 78 | -18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Williamson | 59 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mambo Come Tesio | - | 80 | 77 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kanimambo | 67 | 59 | 83 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Skyjet | 62 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lorna Lilly | 55 | 50 | 71 | -21 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | California Boy | 64 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blyde River | 48 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | All Black Captain | 46 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points