Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 68)
Line Horse
Kimball O'Hara
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Seeking Peace 3 53.0 1 0.00 2.5 54 54 54 +0 2 Kimball O'Hara 2 60.0 2 4.00 0.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Bonanza 3 58.5 3 4.20 2.5 65 66 66 +1 4 Fly To Rio 4 57.5 4 5.95 1.5 63 65 65 +2 5 Liketheclappers 3 57.5 5 6.15 2.5 63 63 63 +0 6 Persistance 3 55.0 6 6.45 2.5 58 58 58 +0 7 Axl 3 61.0 7 7.70 2.5 70 70 70 +0 8 Global Movement 6 54.0 8 8.45 0.0 56 61 61 +5 9 Stella Et Clavis 2 56.0 9 13.95 0.0 66 65 65 -1 10 Tuscan Gold 2 56.5 10 20.20 0.0 67 66 66 -1 11 I'll Slip Away 2 52.5 11 20.70 0.0 58 58 58 +0 99 Masked Vigilante 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seeking Peace | 54 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kimball O'Hara Line | 74 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Bonanza | 65 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Fly To Rio | 63 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Liketheclappers | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Persistance | 58 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Axl | 70 | 84 | 70 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Global Movement | 56 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Stella Et Clavis | 66 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tuscan Gold | 67 | 84 | 66 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | I'll Slip Away | 58 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Masked Vigilante | - | 78 | 68 | +10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points