Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH TAB OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Downing Seven
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Big Poppa 3 55.0 1 0.00 4.5 63 51 51 -12 2 Run Rudolph Run 3 60.0 2 1.00 4.5 64 65 65 +1 3 Gimme The Best 2 58.0 3 1.05 0.0 69 70 70 +1 4 Downing Seven 5 56.5 4 1.45 0.0 66 66 66 +0 5 Autumn Moon 3 57.5 5 1.55 4.5 59 59 59 +0 6 Donder Storm 3 59.0 6 2.80 4.5 62 61 61 -1 7 Landingonthemoon 2 53.0 7 4.55 0.0 57 56 56 -1 8 Just Before Dawn 3 52.5 8 4.60 4.5 59 46 49 -10 9 Hakas Krakas 3 55.0 9 4.65 4.5 63 51 53 -10 10 Lockheedlightning 2 58.5 10 4.95 0.0 70 67 67 -3 11 Legal Chitchat 3 59.5 11 5.70 4.5 72 60 62 -10 12 Beau Kala 2 55.0 12 5.75 0.0 68 60 60 -8 99 Western Wall 3 56.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 53 53 +0 99 Saint Silas 2 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Poppa | 63 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Run Rudolph Run | 64 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Gimme The Best | 69 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Downing Seven Line | 66 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Autumn Moon | 59 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Donder Storm | 62 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Landingonthemoon | 57 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Just Before Dawn | 59 | 60 | 49 | +11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Hakas Krakas | 63 | 65 | 53 | +12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Lockheedlightning | 70 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Legal Chitchat | 72 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Beau Kala | 68 | 73 | 60 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Western Wall | - | 51 | 53 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Saint Silas | - | 65 | 56 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points