Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Act Naturally
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 What A State 3 59.5 1 0.00 2.5 77 76 76 -1 2 Allende 3 58.5 2 0.50 2.5 81 79 79 -2 3 Body Electric 2 60.0 3 1.75 0.0 84 85 85 +1 4 Act Naturally 2 59.5 4 3.00 0.0 83 83 83 +0 5 Nippy Winter 3 60.0 5 3.40 2.5 78 78 78 +0 6 Everlasting 2 54.5 6 3.60 0.0 73 72 72 -1 7 Symphony Of Light 3 58.5 7 3.70 2.5 75 75 75 +0 8 Pucallpa 2 58.0 8 4.95 0.0 80 78 78 -2 9 Kennedy 3 54.5 9 5.05 2.5 73 66 66 -7 10 Shikoku 3 53.5 10 6.30 2.5 65 64 64 -1 11 By Royal Command 3 52.0 11 9.05 2.5 55 61 61 +6 12 Hear My Voice 2 58.5 12 11.30 0.0 81 79 79 -2 99 Fearless Trip 3 52.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 62 62 +0 99 Spywing 2 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | What A State | 77 | 82 | 76 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Allende | 81 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Body Electric | 84 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Act Naturally Line | 83 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Nippy Winter | 78 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Everlasting | 73 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Symphony Of Light | 75 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Pucallpa | 80 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kennedy | 73 | 79 | 66 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Shikoku | 65 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | By Royal Command | 55 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Hear My Voice | 81 | 54 | 79 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fearless Trip | - | 63 | 62 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Spywing | - | 85 | 81 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points