Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Can't Catch Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Can't Catch Me 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 2 Short Sharp Shock 3 60.0 2 0.50 2.5 50 72 72 +22 3 Coffee In Seattle 3 60.0 3 2.50 2.5 61 69 69 +8 4 Just Forever 3 60.0 4 4.75 2.5 54 67 67 +13 5 Ygritte 2 60.0 5 7.25 0.0 71 72 72 +1 6 Afrodite 3 60.0 6 7.35 2.5 69 67 67 -2 7 Lovin' You Baby 2 60.0 7 7.45 0.0 60 72 72 +12 8 Spring Fever 2 60.0 8 7.95 0.0 49 72 72 +23 9 Sundrop 6 60.0 9 8.00 0.0 44 72 72 +28 10 Nairobi 3 60.0 10 8.05 2.5 53 67 67 +14 11 Reggies Girl 3 60.0 11 9.30 2.5 66 67 67 +1 12 Celtic Vixen 4 60.0 12 9.80 1.5 - 69 69 +69 13 Painted Beauty 4 60.0 13 11.05 1.5 - 69 69 +69 14 Wonder Woman 6 60.0 14 11.30 0.0 45 72 72 +27 15 Ghalaati 3 60.0 15 12.55 2.5 - 67 67 +67 16 Fly Better 3 60.0 16 14.80 2.5 56 67 67 +11 99 African Tune 4 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 69 69 +0 99 Gaetana 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Can't Catch Me Line | 72 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Short Sharp Shock | 50 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Coffee In Seattle | 61 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Just Forever | 54 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ygritte | 71 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Afrodite | 69 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lovin' You Baby | 60 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Spring Fever | 49 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sundrop | 44 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Nairobi | 53 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Reggies Girl | 66 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Celtic Vixen | - | 58 | 69 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Painted Beauty | - | 30 | 69 | -39 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Wonder Woman | 45 | 43 | 72 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Ghalaati | - | 64 | 67 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 16 | Fly Better | 56 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | African Tune | - | 60 | 69 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Gaetana | - | 26 | 67 | -41 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points