Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 7 APRIL MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Irish Rain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Alingalonga 4 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 74 74 74 +0 2 Euphoric 6 54.0 2 0.50 0.0 65 73 73 +8 3 El Romiachi 8 55.0 3 2.25 0.0 67 73 73 +6 4 Irish Rain 4 58.5 4 4.50 1.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Alado's Pride 7 53.5 5 7.25 0.0 64 67 67 +3 6 Ushuaia 4 58.5 6 8.50 1.5 74 74 74 +0 7 Atkinson Grimshaw 4 60.0 7 8.75 1.5 77 77 77 +0 8 Fire Lord 3 59.0 8 9.25 3.0 75 72 72 -3 9 Matsuyamo 2 56.0 9 12.75 0.0 75 72 72 -3 10 Opera Swing 4 52.0 10 12.80 1.5 58 61 61 +3 11 Coffee Break 3 55.5 11 14.05 3.0 68 65 65 -3 12 Kapuziner 2 57.5 12 17.30 0.0 78 75 75 -3 13 Homer Fidget 4 55.0 13 27.80 1.5 67 67 67 +0 14 Spirit Of Silvano 3 59.5 14 32.30 3.0 76 73 73 -3 99 Ideal Time 3 52.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alingalonga | 74 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Euphoric | 65 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | El Romiachi | 67 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Irish Rain Line | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Alado's Pride | 64 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ushuaia | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Atkinson Grimshaw | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Fire Lord | 75 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Matsuyamo | 75 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Opera Swing | 58 | 82 | 61 | +21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Coffee Break | 68 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Kapuziner | 78 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Homer Fidget | 67 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Spirit Of Silvano | 76 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ideal Time | - | 54 | 58 | -4 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points