Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 64 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
English Primrose
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Hatta                4    58.5    1    0.00     1.0   64    60           64    +0
2    Petit Verdot         2    59.0    2    0.30     0.0   67    68           68    +1
3    English Primrose     3    57.0    3    0.80     2.5   58    58           58    +0
4    Angelic Fort         3    59.0    4    1.20     2.5   62    62           62    +0
5    Run Again            3    53.0    5    1.60     2.5   50    49           49    -1
6    Fasinada             4    56.0    6    2.40     1.0   56    57           57    +1
7    Rose Princess        4    56.0    7    4.10     1.0   56    56           56    +0
8    Roy's Rocker         3    53.5    8    6.30     2.5   51    47           47    -4
9    Sayulita             2    60.0    9    7.20     0.0   69    65           65    -4
10   Kileigh's Fate       4    55.0    10   7.60     1.0   57    53           53    -4
11   Duchess Of Gold      2    62.0    11   8.90     0.0   73    69           69    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Hatta 64 59 64 -5 1.0 -
2 Petit Verdot 67 75 68 +7 0.0 -
3 English Primrose Line 58 58 58 ✓ Match 2.5
4 Angelic Fort 62 50 62 -12 2.5 -
5 Run Again 50 48 49 -1 2.5 -
6 Fasinada 56 52 57 -5 1.0 -
7 Rose Princess 56 53 56 -3 1.0 -
8 Roy's Rocker 51 53 47 +6 2.5 -
9 Sayulita 69 64 65 -1 0.0 -
10 Kileigh's Fate 57 48 53 -5 1.0 -
11 Duchess Of Gold 73 62 69 -7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points