Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETONTAB.CO.ZA MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mo Jive
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Trident King 3 59.5 1 0.00 2.5 85 82 85 +0 2 Bloomington 3 57.0 2 1.60 2.5 80 80 80 +0 3 Mo Jive 2 57.0 3 2.10 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Stratospheric 2 60.5 4 5.25 0.0 92 89 89 -3 5 Youcanthurrylove 5 59.5 5 9.50 0.0 85 87 87 +2 6 Southern Blaze 3 56.5 6 10.75 2.5 79 76 76 -3 7 Sequoia 6 56.5 7 13.00 0.0 79 81 81 +2 8 Earl 4 56.0 8 18.00 1.0 78 78 78 +0 9 Lee Express 4 56.5 9 19.00 1.0 84 79 79 -5 10 City By The Sea 4 59.0 10 28.00 1.0 89 84 84 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trident King | 85 | 65 | 85 | -20 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bloomington | 80 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mo Jive Line | 85 | 78 | 85 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Stratospheric | 92 | 97 | 89 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Youcanthurrylove | 85 | 86 | 87 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Southern Blaze | 79 | 89 | 76 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Sequoia | 79 | 99 | 81 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Earl | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lee Express | 84 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | City By The Sea | 89 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points