Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 14 APRIL CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Picture The Moment
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 20
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 20
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 20
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pedro 6 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 58 66 64 +6 2 Toureiro 5 56.0 2 0.10 0.0 60 70 70 +10 3 Jean Paul 3 54.0 3 0.85 3.0 59 60 60 +1 4 Great Melody 3 58.0 4 0.95 3.0 66 68 68 +2 5 Picture The Moment 4 54.0 5 1.00 3.5 59 59 59 +0 6 Russian Empire 5 60.0 6 1.25 0.0 75 78 78 +3 7 Jackson Misissippi 6 54.0 7 2.00 0.0 58 66 66 +8 8 Roger The Dodger 5 54.0 8 3.15 0.0 56 66 66 +10 9 Jaquar Cat 3 54.0 9 3.25 3.0 56 60 60 +4 10 Globetonic 6 60.0 10 3.35 0.0 68 78 78 +10 11 Bethel 6 60.0 11 3.45 0.0 70 78 78 +8 12 Captain Morne 3 54.0 12 4.20 3.0 58 60 60 +2 13 Arverni Warrior 3 60.0 13 5.20 3.0 68 72 72 +4 14 My Ami Beach 6 58.5 14 8.35 0.0 68 75 75 +7 15 Ivalo's Prince 5 58.0 15 8.40 0.0 67 74 74 +7 16 El Romiachi 8 60.0 16 11.40 0.0 71 78 78 +7 17 Modern Magician 3 60.0 17 13.55 3.0 70 72 72 +2 18 Storm Chaser 4 60.0 18 24.70 3.5 71 71 71 +0 99 Miss United States 3 52.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Cape Princess 3 50.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pedro | 58 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Toureiro | 60 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jean Paul | 59 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Great Melody | 66 | 79 | 68 | +11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Picture The Moment Line | 59 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 3.5 | ||
| 6 | Russian Empire | 75 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jackson Misissippi | 58 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Roger The Dodger | 56 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jaquar Cat | 56 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Globetonic | 68 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bethel | 70 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Captain Morne | 58 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Arverni Warrior | 68 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | My Ami Beach | 68 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Ivalo's Prince | 67 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | El Romiachi | 71 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 17 | Modern Magician | 70 | 56 | 72 | -16 | 3.0 | - | |
| 18 | Storm Chaser | 71 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Miss United States | - | 52 | 57 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cape Princess | - | 45 | 53 | -8 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points