Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO THE HENNENMAN MEMORIAL JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ripple Effect 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 2 Phantom Express 4 55.5 2 0.90 3.5 - - - +0 3 Callmewhenuneedme 4 60.0 3 1.80 3.5 - - - +0 4 So Seductive 2 57.0 4 2.60 2.0 - - - +0 5 Komesans Passion 4 57.0 5 5.85 3.5 - - - +0 6 Mizzen Sail 2 57.0 6 7.25 2.0 - - - +0 7 Winter Path 2 57.0 7 10.00 2.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ripple Effect | - | 102 | - | +102 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Phantom Express | - | 76 | - | +76 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Callmewhenuneedme | - | 97 | - | +97 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | So Seductive | - | 89 | - | +89 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Komesans Passion | - | 52 | - | +52 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mizzen Sail | - | 87 | - | +87 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Path | - | 79 | - | +79 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points