Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Release Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Golden Peace 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 85 80 +0 2 Aurora Storm 2 58.5 2 0.70 0.0 78 88 88 +10 3 Release Me 3 58.0 3 1.75 2.5 80 80 80 +0 4 Time Taker 4 57.0 4 2.05 1.0 70 81 81 +11 5 Professor Snape 2 60.0 5 2.45 0.0 81 88 88 +7 6 Teichman 5 59.5 6 3.35 0.0 75 86 86 +11 7 The Bayou 7 53.5 7 3.45 0.0 66 74 74 +8 8 Riccardo 7 55.5 8 4.25 0.0 67 78 78 +11 9 Walton Hall 5 52.0 9 4.55 0.0 51 70 70 +19 10 Attorney General 5 58.5 10 6.75 0.0 73 83 83 +10 11 Jazz Festival 5 56.5 11 13.65 0.0 77 79 79 +2 99 Jetavana 3 54.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 70 70 +0 99 El Dante 7 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden Peace | 80 | 105 | 80 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aurora Storm | 78 | 84 | 88 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Release Me Line | 80 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Time Taker | 70 | 55 | 81 | -26 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Professor Snape | 81 | 68 | 88 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Teichman | 75 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Bayou | 66 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Riccardo | 67 | 68 | 78 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Walton Hall | 51 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Attorney General | 73 | 68 | 83 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Jazz Festival | 77 | 70 | 79 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jetavana | - | 65 | 70 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | El Dante | - | 87 | 83 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points