Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Gimme The Best
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Donder Storm 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.5 61 54 54 -7 2 Gimme The Best 2 59.5 2 0.40 0.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Run Rudolph Run 3 59.5 3 0.60 3.5 66 66 66 +0 4 Marshall Field 3 60.5 4 0.80 3.5 75 67 67 -8 5 Saint Silas 2 52.5 5 1.10 0.0 54 58 58 +4 6 Autumn Moon 3 56.5 6 1.85 3.5 60 58 58 -2 7 Marree Man 3 52.5 7 3.10 3.5 54 48 48 -6 8 Felidavian 3 53.0 8 3.60 3.5 60 49 50 -10 9 Beau Kala 2 54.5 9 4.85 0.0 68 56 58 -10 10 Lockheedlightning 2 57.0 10 5.25 0.0 68 61 61 -7 11 Hakas Krakas 3 53.0 11 11.00 3.5 60 46 50 -10 12 First Time Lucky 3 53.5 12 26.25 3.5 60 47 50 -10 99 Landingonthemoon 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 51 51 +0 99 Western Wall 3 53.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 46 46 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donder Storm | 61 | 63 | 54 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Gimme The Best Line | 73 | 51 | 73 | -22 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Run Rudolph Run | 66 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Marshall Field | 75 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Saint Silas | 54 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Autumn Moon | 60 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Marree Man | 54 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Felidavian | 60 | 60 | 50 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Beau Kala | 68 | 73 | 58 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lockheedlightning | 68 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hakas Krakas | 60 | 65 | 50 | +15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | First Time Lucky | 60 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Landingonthemoon | - | 52 | 51 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Western Wall | - | 51 | 46 | +5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points