Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: 4RACING.TV MR 98 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Spin Doctor
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Running Rifles 3 52.0 1 0.00 2.5 82 82 82 +0 2 Cabinet Shuffle 4 60.0 2 0.10 1.0 98 101 101 +3 3 Spin Doctor 3 54.0 3 0.15 2.5 86 86 86 +0 4 Duke Of Sussex 4 60.5 4 0.25 1.0 99 102 102 +3 5 Fateful Day 3 57.0 5 0.75 2.5 92 96 96 +4 6 Home Of The Brave 2 52.0 6 1.40 0.0 85 90 90 +5 7 Flashy Apache 6 60.0 7 1.50 0.0 98 106 106 +8 8 Fast Love 4 59.0 8 1.55 1.0 96 102 102 +6 9 Bey Suyay 4 56.5 9 3.25 1.0 91 96 96 +5 10 Tsar Bomba 3 56.0 10 7.25 2.5 95 90 90 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Running Rifles | 82 | 95 | 82 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Cabinet Shuffle | 98 | 76 | 101 | -25 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Spin Doctor Line | 86 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Duke Of Sussex | 99 | 96 | 102 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fateful Day | 92 | 93 | 96 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Home Of The Brave | 85 | 97 | 90 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flashy Apache | 98 | 78 | 106 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fast Love | 96 | 90 | 102 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bey Suyay | 91 | 84 | 96 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tsar Bomba | 95 | 91 | 90 | +1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points