Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 2 MAY MR 81 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Millahue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tizona 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 81 79 81 +0 2 Rain Or Shine 4 54.5 2 0.75 1.0 70 75 75 +5 3 Millahue 3 59.0 3 3.25 2.5 79 79 79 +0 4 After Hours 7 52.0 4 4.25 0.0 62 69 69 +7 5 The Chosen One 2 52.0 5 6.00 0.0 70 68 68 -2 6 Quandary 5 57.0 6 6.05 0.0 80 78 78 -2 7 Robert Burns 3 57.0 7 7.25 2.5 75 73 73 -2 8 Written In Stone 9 49.5 8 9.00 0.0 61 63 63 +2 9 Indus Knight 3 56.5 9 9.25 2.5 74 72 72 -2 10 Phantomoftheforest 3 52.5 10 10.00 2.5 64 64 64 +0 11 Just Eminent 3 52.0 11 11.50 2.5 65 63 63 -2 12 In Cahoots 6 56.0 12 19.00 0.0 73 76 76 +3 99 South Boy (ARG) 4 55.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tizona | 81 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Rain Or Shine | 70 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Millahue Line | 79 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | After Hours | 62 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Chosen One | 70 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Quandary | 80 | 88 | 78 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Robert Burns | 75 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Written In Stone | 61 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Indus Knight | 74 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Phantomoftheforest | 64 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Just Eminent | 65 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | In Cahoots | 73 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | South Boy (ARG) | - | 71 | 72 | -1 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points