Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BETONTAB.CO.ZA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Southern Style
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ghost Ship 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 66 57 57 -9 2 Elusive Fire 4 57.5 2 1.75 3.5 57 51 51 -6 3 Chilli Marmalade 5 60.0 3 2.00 0.0 60 63 63 +3 4 Southern Style 5 60.0 4 2.75 0.0 63 63 63 +0 5 United's Ransom 3 60.0 5 3.35 3.0 59 57 57 -2 6 Azucar 3 60.0 6 6.50 3.0 62 57 57 -5 7 Damned If I Do 2 60.0 7 7.50 2.0 65 59 59 -6 8 All Rise 3 60.0 8 9.50 3.0 - 57 57 +57 9 Rio Supremo 3 60.0 9 9.80 3.0 54 57 57 +3 10 Punta Alta 2 60.0 10 10.25 2.0 42 59 59 +17 11 Liefdesondereinde 4 60.0 11 16.50 3.5 - 56 56 +56 12 Tiny Dancer 2 60.0 12 23.75 2.0 40 59 59 +19 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghost Ship | 66 | 68 | 57 | +11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Elusive Fire | 57 | 63 | 51 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Chilli Marmalade | 60 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Southern Style Line | 63 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | United's Ransom | 59 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Azucar | 62 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Damned If I Do | 65 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | All Rise | - | 50 | 57 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rio Supremo | 54 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Punta Alta | 42 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Liefdesondereinde | - | 10 | 56 | -46 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Tiny Dancer | 40 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points