Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Dream Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Salient Point 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 54 59 59 +5 2 Ponderosa Pine 2 60.0 2 1.25 0.0 65 65 65 +0 3 Dream Star 2 60.0 3 1.35 0.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Gold For Africa 3 60.0 4 2.10 2.5 54 59 59 +5 5 Racinante 2 60.0 5 4.10 0.0 67 62 62 -5 6 Celtic Vixen 4 60.0 6 4.20 1.0 49 60 60 +11 7 Texas Tornado 2 60.0 7 4.70 0.0 50 61 61 +11 8 Antonia Augusta 2 60.0 8 4.80 0.0 56 61 61 +5 9 Miss Semra 3 60.0 9 7.30 2.5 - 56 56 +56 10 Magenta 4 60.0 10 7.40 1.0 54 59 59 +5 11 Afrodite 3 60.0 11 8.65 2.5 67 56 57 -10 12 Make A Deal 3 60.0 12 13.40 2.5 41 56 56 +15 13 Brazilian Storm 4 60.0 13 29.65 1.0 56 59 59 +3 14 Sundrop 6 60.0 14 99.99 0.0 47 61 61 +14 99 Ghalaati 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 99 Short Sharp Shock 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 99 The Little Girl 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salient Point | 54 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ponderosa Pine | 65 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dream Star Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Gold For Africa | 54 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Racinante | 67 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Celtic Vixen | 49 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Texas Tornado | 50 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Antonia Augusta | 56 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Miss Semra | - | 50 | 56 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Magenta | 54 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Afrodite | 67 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Make A Deal | 41 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Brazilian Storm | 56 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Sundrop | 47 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ghalaati | - | 64 | 56 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Short Sharp Shock | - | 62 | 56 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | The Little Girl | - | 24 | 56 | -32 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points