Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WORLD SPORTS BETTING SA NURSERY (Grade 2) (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lucky Lad 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 2 Jerusalema Rain 2 60.0 2 2.75 2.0 - - - +0 3 Ripple Effect 2 57.5 3 3.00 2.0 - - - +0 4 Pure Predator 2 60.0 4 3.75 2.0 - - - +0 5 Guy Gibson 2 60.0 5 4.00 2.0 - - - +0 6 Fire 'N Flames 4 60.0 6 12.00 3.5 - - - +0 7 Amber Rock 2 57.5 7 28.00 2.0 - - - +0 99 Halberdier 4 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucky Lad | - | 118 | - | +118 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Jerusalema Rain | - | 100 | - | +100 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ripple Effect | - | 102 | - | +102 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pure Predator | - | 118 | - | +118 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Guy Gibson | - | 99 | - | +99 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fire 'N Flames | - | 103 | - | +103 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Amber Rock | - | 86 | - | +86 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Halberdier | - | 83 | - | - | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points