Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Narina Trogon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sugar Mountain 3 60.5 1 0.00 2.0 95 92 92 -3 2 Solar Power 3 58.0 2 0.30 2.0 90 92 92 +2 3 Narina Trogon 5 57.5 3 1.30 0.0 93 93 93 +0 4 Nevada King 2 54.5 4 1.60 0.0 87 87 87 +0 5 Montien 3 54.5 5 3.10 2.0 87 82 82 -5 6 Double Charge 5 57.0 6 3.50 0.0 88 90 90 +2 7 Keep It Secret 3 55.5 7 5.25 2.0 85 82 82 -3 8 Future Swing 2 58.0 8 8.50 0.0 94 91 91 -3 9 Blackberry Malt 5 58.0 9 8.70 0.0 94 91 91 -3 10 Pas De Nom 2 59.5 10 9.95 0.0 97 94 94 -3 11 Hasta Manana 3 60.0 11 10.45 2.0 94 91 91 -3 12 Admiral Dooley 3 56.5 12 17.95 2.0 87 84 84 -3 13 Scalini 2 55.5 13 23.20 0.0 89 86 86 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sugar Mountain | 95 | 122 | 92 | +30 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Solar Power | 90 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Narina Trogon Line | 93 | 102 | 93 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Nevada King | 87 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Montien | 87 | 122 | 82 | +40 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Double Charge | 88 | 80 | 90 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Keep It Secret | 85 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Future Swing | 94 | 116 | 91 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Blackberry Malt | 94 | 82 | 91 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Pas De Nom | 97 | 91 | 94 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hasta Manana | 94 | 88 | 91 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Admiral Dooley | 87 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Scalini | 89 | 70 | 86 | -16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points