Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: CAPE RACING CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Future Turn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mister Monocle 4 57.0 1 0.00 1.0 72 70 70 -2 2 Coronation Time 2 58.0 2 0.75 0.0 79 80 80 +1 3 Future Turn 5 60.0 3 1.75 0.0 83 83 83 +0 4 Sudden Song 3 59.5 4 3.75 2.5 77 74 74 -3 5 Gentleman Joe 3 57.0 5 3.85 2.5 72 69 69 -3 6 Silver Sky 6 61.0 6 4.60 0.0 80 81 81 +1 7 Twice The Master 3 52.0 7 10.10 2.5 62 57 57 -5 8 Inside Story 4 56.0 8 13.35 1.0 70 68 68 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mister Monocle | 72 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Coronation Time | 79 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Future Turn Line | 83 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sudden Song | 77 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Gentleman Joe | 72 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Sky | 80 | 70 | 81 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twice The Master | 62 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Inside Story | 70 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points