Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: THE INDEPENDENT ON SATURDAY MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
African Dusk
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tirpitz 6 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 76 79 76 +0 2 Captain Rocket 3 55.0 2 3.50 2.0 74 70 70 -4 3 African Dusk 5 57.5 3 4.10 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Sequoia 6 59.5 4 5.40 0.0 79 82 82 +3 5 Time Taker 4 55.0 5 5.60 0.5 70 72 72 +2 6 Fine Admiral 3 54.0 6 5.90 2.0 75 67 67 -8 7 Beyondtheboundary 3 62.5 7 6.30 2.0 85 84 84 -1 8 Teichman 5 57.5 8 6.60 0.0 75 78 78 +3 9 Pirate Prince 2 58.5 9 6.85 0.0 81 80 80 -1 10 Cherokee Trail 2 60.5 10 7.65 0.0 85 84 84 -1 11 The Bund 2 55.5 11 8.40 0.0 78 74 74 -4 12 Dowser 5 60.5 12 8.60 0.0 90 84 84 -6 13 Temperate Zone 2 57.0 13 10.50 0.0 78 77 77 -1 14 Imperial Order 3 57.0 14 27.10 2.0 78 73 73 -5 99 Rosh Kedesh 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tirpitz | 76 | 82 | 76 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Rocket | 74 | 82 | 70 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | African Dusk Line | 79 | 83 | 79 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sequoia | 79 | 99 | 82 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Time Taker | 70 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Fine Admiral | 75 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Beyondtheboundary | 85 | 72 | 84 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Teichman | 75 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pirate Prince | 81 | 94 | 80 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Cherokee Trail | 85 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | The Bund | 78 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dowser | 90 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Temperate Zone | 78 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Imperial Order | 78 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rosh Kedesh | - | 88 | 79 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points