Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lord Wylie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Love On Time 3 57.0 1 0.00 4.0 76 59 76 +0 2 Preemptive Strike 4 58.5 2 0.05 2.5 70 65 65 -5 3 Lord Wylie 7 58.0 3 2.25 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Pashtunwali 6 58.0 4 2.95 0.0 78 71 71 -7 5 Walton Hall 5 54.0 5 3.25 0.0 61 63 63 +2 6 Radames 5 57.0 6 3.40 0.0 67 68 68 +1 7 Winter Air 3 60.0 7 3.70 4.0 82 66 72 -10 8 Captain Who 4 62.0 8 4.20 2.5 77 73 73 -4 9 Letaba 6 60.0 9 4.80 0.0 73 73 73 +0 10 Master Vision 5 55.5 10 6.00 0.0 64 64 64 +0 11 Banzai Pipeline 7 61.5 11 6.80 0.0 76 76 76 +0 12 Tuk Tuk 3 55.0 12 7.80 4.0 72 55 62 -10 13 Tom Bombadil 5 55.5 13 8.90 0.0 64 64 64 +0 14 Whispers Of War (AU 7 57.0 14 9.15 0.0 67 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Love On Time | 76 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Preemptive Strike | 70 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lord Wylie Line | 72 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Pashtunwali | 78 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Walton Hall | 61 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Radames | 67 | 56 | 68 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Air | 82 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Captain Who | 77 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Letaba | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Master Vision | 64 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Banzai Pipeline | 76 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Tuk Tuk | 72 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | Tom Bombadil | 64 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | 67 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points