Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Lord Wylie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Love On Time         3    57.0    1    0.00     4.0   76    59           76    +0
2    Preemptive Strike    4    58.5    2    0.05     2.5   70    65           65    -5
3    Lord Wylie           7    58.0    3    2.25     0.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Pashtunwali          6    58.0    4    2.95     0.0   78    71           71    -7
5    Walton Hall          5    54.0    5    3.25     0.0   61    63           63    +2
6    Radames              5    57.0    6    3.40     0.0   67    68           68    +1
7    Winter Air           3    60.0    7    3.70     4.0   82    66           72    -10
8    Captain Who          4    62.0    8    4.20     2.5   77    73           73    -4
9    Letaba               6    60.0    9    4.80     0.0   73    73           73    +0
10   Master Vision        5    55.5    10   6.00     0.0   64    64           64    +0
11   Banzai Pipeline      7    61.5    11   6.80     0.0   76    76           76    +0
12   Tuk Tuk              3    55.0    12   7.80     4.0   72    55           62    -10
13   Tom Bombadil         5    55.5    13   8.90     0.0   64    64           64    +0
14   Whispers Of War (AU  7    57.0    14   9.15     0.0   67    67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Love On Time 76 77 76 +1 4.0 -
2 Preemptive Strike 70 70 65 +5 2.5 -
3 Lord Wylie Line 72 69 72 -3 0.0
4 Pashtunwali 78 58 71 -13 0.0 -
5 Walton Hall 61 50 63 -13 0.0 -
6 Radames 67 56 68 -12 0.0 -
7 Winter Air 82 62 72 -10 4.0 -
8 Captain Who 77 65 73 -8 2.5 -
9 Letaba 73 73 73 ✓ Match 0.0 -
10 Master Vision 64 47 64 -17 0.0 -
11 Banzai Pipeline 76 62 76 -14 0.0 -
12 Tuk Tuk 72 61 62 -1 4.0 -
13 Tom Bombadil 64 56 64 -8 0.0 -
14 Whispers Of War (AUS) 67 64 67 -3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points