Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Go Dream Machine
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Time Spirit 4 54.5 1 0.00 1.0 57 57 57 +0 2 Absolute Value 3 59.0 2 0.90 3.5 66 66 66 +0 3 Go Dream Machine 3 54.0 3 1.25 3.5 56 56 56 +0 4 Great Affair 7 59.5 4 3.25 0.0 70 72 72 +2 5 Angel's Wish 6 58.5 5 4.50 0.0 70 68 68 -2 6 Royal Mazarin 4 56.0 6 6.75 1.0 65 60 60 -5 7 Barmaid 2 54.5 7 11.75 0.0 64 59 59 -5 8 Twice In Camden 3 54.0 8 12.25 3.5 56 51 51 -5 9 Arden Park 3 54.0 9 12.50 3.5 58 51 51 -7 10 Pacific Express 2 55.5 10 33.50 0.0 66 61 61 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Time Spirit | 57 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Absolute Value | 66 | 84 | 66 | +18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Go Dream Machine Line | 56 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Great Affair | 70 | 63 | 72 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Angel's Wish | 70 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Mazarin | 65 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Barmaid | 64 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Twice In Camden | 56 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Arden Park | 58 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Pacific Express | 66 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points