Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Augusta Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 World's Best 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 82 75 75 -7 2 William The First 2 56.5 2 0.05 0.0 75 71 71 -4 3 Augusta Blue 5 59.5 3 1.05 0.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Katsu 3 57.0 4 1.80 1.5 76 72 72 -4 5 Keep Shining 3 52.5 5 3.80 1.5 62 61 61 -1 6 Tothemoonandback 5 58.0 6 4.00 0.0 78 75 75 -3 7 Paper Trail 4 54.5 7 4.30 0.5 67 66 66 -1 8 Rule Of Thumb 2 60.5 8 5.80 0.0 83 79 79 -4 9 Contiguous 2 58.5 9 6.30 0.0 79 75 75 -4 10 Charlie Malone 5 53.5 10 6.40 0.0 69 65 65 -4 11 Numzaan 2 59.0 11 8.65 0.0 80 76 76 -4 99 Silent Trigger 6 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | World's Best | 82 | 87 | 75 | +12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | William The First | 75 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Augusta Blue Line | 81 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Katsu | 76 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Keep Shining | 62 | 64 | 61 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tothemoonandback | 78 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Paper Trail | 67 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rule Of Thumb | 83 | 86 | 79 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Contiguous | 79 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Charlie Malone | 69 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Numzaan | 80 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silent Trigger | - | 60 | 77 | -17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points