Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

Line Horse
Augusta Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    World's Best         3    60.0    1    0.00     1.5   82    75           75    -7
2    William The First    2    56.5    2    0.05     0.0   75    71           71    -4
3    Augusta Blue         5    59.5    3    1.05     0.0   81    81           81    +0
4    Katsu                3    57.0    4    1.80     1.5   76    72           72    -4
5    Keep Shining         3    52.5    5    3.80     1.5   62    61           61    -1
6    Tothemoonandback     5    58.0    6    4.00     0.0   78    75           75    -3
7    Paper Trail          4    54.5    7    4.30     0.5   67    66           66    -1
8    Rule Of Thumb        2    60.5    8    5.80     0.0   83    79           79    -4
9    Contiguous           2    58.5    9    6.30     0.0   79    75           75    -4
10   Charlie Malone       5    53.5    10   6.40     0.0   69    65           65    -4
11   Numzaan              2    59.0    11   8.65     0.0   80    76           76    -4
99   Silent Trigger       6    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     77           77    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 World's Best 82 87 75 +12 1.5 -
2 William The First 75 75 71 +4 0.0 -
3 Augusta Blue Line 81 69 81 -12 0.0
4 Katsu 76 81 72 +9 1.5 -
5 Keep Shining 62 64 61 +3 1.5 -
6 Tothemoonandback 78 69 75 -6 0.0 -
7 Paper Trail 67 60 66 -6 0.5 -
8 Rule Of Thumb 83 86 79 +7 0.0 -
9 Contiguous 79 76 75 +1 0.0 -
10 Charlie Malone 69 71 65 +6 0.0 -
11 Numzaan 80 79 76 +3 0.0 -
99 Silent Trigger - 60 77 -17 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points