Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WSB SPIN WITH THE BEST MR 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gunsmoke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Brenden James 6 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 74 74 +0 2 Bournemouth 5 55.0 2 1.25 0.0 71 72 72 +1 3 Gunsmoke 3 52.5 3 1.75 1.5 63 63 63 +0 4 Fiery Duke 3 54.0 4 2.00 1.5 66 66 66 +0 5 Equestrian Affair 2 58.5 5 2.50 0.0 79 77 77 -2 6 Then In Focus 2 58.0 6 2.60 0.0 77 76 76 -1 7 Rose Of Bayeux 3 58.5 7 4.10 1.5 75 73 73 -2 8 Bee In My Bonnet 2 58.0 8 6.10 0.0 78 74 74 -4 9 Can't Catch Me 5 55.0 9 7.35 0.0 72 68 68 -4 10 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 52.0 10 7.40 0.0 65 62 62 -3 11 Humble Tune 4 51.5 11 8.65 0.5 66 60 60 -6 12 Federal Reserve 2 53.5 12 10.90 0.0 69 65 65 -4 13 Silver Tycoon 7 60.0 13 13.15 0.0 78 78 78 +0 14 Narcos 3 60.0 14 16.65 1.5 78 75 75 -3 15 Secret Is Ours 4 59.5 15 99.98 0.5 77 76 76 -1 99 Tartan Dancer 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brenden James | 74 | 98 | 74 | +24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 71 | 110 | 72 | +38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gunsmoke Line | 63 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Fiery Duke | 66 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Equestrian Affair | 79 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Then In Focus | 77 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rose Of Bayeux | 75 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bee In My Bonnet | 78 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Can't Catch Me | 72 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | 65 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Humble Tune | 66 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Federal Reserve | 69 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Silver Tycoon | 78 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Narcos | 78 | 86 | 75 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Secret Is Ours | 77 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tartan Dancer | - | 47 | 62 | -15 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points