Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WSB Bet with the Best MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
One Irish Rover
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rafa's Boy 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 - 68 6 +6 2 Bedtime Story 2 57.0 2 0.30 1.5 - 62 62 +62 3 El Draque 5 60.0 3 0.55 0.0 61 71 71 +10 4 Kumemori 5 60.0 4 2.45 0.0 - 71 71 +71 5 Future Of Energy 5 58.5 5 2.85 0.0 70 68 68 -2 6 Down By The River 2 57.0 6 3.35 1.5 - 62 62 +62 7 One Irish Rover 5 60.0 7 4.55 0.0 71 71 71 +0 8 Turbo Boost 2 57.0 8 4.85 1.5 - 62 62 +62 9 Givethatmanabells 4 57.0 9 5.15 0.0 - 65 65 +65 10 Excalibur Calls 2 60.0 10 5.20 1.5 - 68 68 +68 11 Magical Stones 3 57.5 11 6.00 2.5 - 61 61 +61 12 King's Spear 4 58.5 12 7.70 0.0 58 68 68 +10 13 Olverston 2 60.0 13 34.00 1.5 - 68 68 +68 99 Monks Throne 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa's Boy | - | 79 | 6 | +73 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bedtime Story | - | 83 | 62 | +21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | El Draque | 61 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Kumemori | - | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Future Of Energy | 70 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Down By The River | - | 95 | 62 | +33 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | One Irish Rover Line | 71 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 8 | Turbo Boost | - | 68 | 62 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Givethatmanabells | - | 70 | 65 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Excalibur Calls | - | 62 | 68 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Magical Stones | - | 46 | 61 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | King's Spear | 58 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Olverston | - | 45 | 68 | -23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Monks Throne | - | 68 | 62 | +6 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points