Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CAPE RACING CAPE B STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Flower Of Saigon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Supreme Dream 3 54.5 1 0.00 2.5 82 69 69 -13 2 Flower Of Saigon 4 61.5 2 0.75 1.0 92 92 92 +0 3 Royal Invitation 5 55.5 3 2.25 0.0 85 81 81 -4 4 Typeface 2 54.0 4 2.75 0.0 82 76 76 -6 5 Follow The Star 5 60.0 5 3.15 0.0 90 88 88 -2 6 Fleeting 3 58.5 6 3.45 2.5 86 80 80 -6 7 Double Check 3 54.0 7 4.20 2.5 77 70 70 -7 8 Bye Bye Bombshell 3 61.5 8 12.20 2.5 93 83 83 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supreme Dream | 82 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Flower Of Saigon Line | 92 | 102 | 92 | +10 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Royal Invitation | 85 | 99 | 81 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Typeface | 82 | 78 | 76 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Follow The Star | 90 | 86 | 88 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fleeting | 86 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Double Check | 77 | 85 | 70 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bye Bye Bombshell | 93 | 93 | 83 | +10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points