Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SOCCER 6 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Exceed Expectation
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quick Star 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 72 66 +0 2 Justfortheepenny 5 54.5 2 0.40 0.0 55 66 66 +11 3 Exceed Expectation 3 53.0 3 3.70 2.0 55 55 55 +0 4 Pascali 3 60.0 4 3.95 2.0 70 69 69 -1 5 Forward Spell 3 60.0 5 4.55 2.0 66 68 68 +2 6 Fever 5 56.0 6 5.30 0.0 58 64 64 +6 7 Happy Aristocrat 4 59.5 7 5.35 0.5 65 70 70 +5 8 Walton Hall 5 52.5 8 5.50 0.0 51 57 57 +6 9 Hallerbos 3 60.0 9 6.25 2.0 66 68 68 +2 10 Master Tobe 5 60.5 10 6.85 0.0 67 73 73 +6 11 Thunder Masala 3 60.5 11 8.25 2.0 67 69 69 +2 12 Ebony Bay 3 57.0 12 13.25 2.0 67 62 62 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Star | 66 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Justfortheepenny | 55 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Exceed Expectation Line | 55 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Pascali | 70 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Forward Spell | 66 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fever | 58 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Happy Aristocrat | 65 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Walton Hall | 51 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hallerbos | 66 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Master Tobe | 67 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Thunder Masala | 67 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Ebony Bay | 67 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points