Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 30 MAY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Napoleon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sage King 3 60.5 1 0.00 2.0 69 65 69 +0 2 Napoleon 3 61.0 2 0.80 2.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Gilda Gray 3 55.0 3 1.00 2.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Luthuli 5 60.0 4 3.25 0.0 72 70 70 -2 5 The Chosen One 2 57.5 5 4.50 0.0 67 63 63 -4 6 Hotchiwitchi 4 56.0 6 5.25 0.5 60 59 59 -1 7 Carnelo 6 57.0 7 6.50 0.0 62 62 62 +0 8 Devilish Dancer 4 55.0 8 6.55 0.5 57 57 57 +0 9 Libeccio 5 59.0 9 8.00 0.0 70 66 66 -4 10 Eagle Alley 4 53.5 10 9.25 0.5 60 54 54 -6 11 Corapi 3 58.0 11 12.50 2.0 64 60 60 -4 12 Batik 3 53.5 12 13.00 2.0 60 51 51 -9 13 Samthewiseman 5 56.5 13 13.75 0.0 65 61 61 -4 14 Barmaid 2 55.5 14 14.00 0.0 62 59 59 -3 15 Coromandel 4 52.0 15 16.00 0.5 52 51 51 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sage King | 69 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Napoleon Line | 70 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Gilda Gray | 58 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Luthuli | 72 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Chosen One | 67 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hotchiwitchi | 60 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Carnelo | 62 | 75 | 62 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Devilish Dancer | 57 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Libeccio | 70 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Eagle Alley | 60 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Corapi | 64 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Batik | 60 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Samthewiseman | 65 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Barmaid | 62 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Coromandel | 52 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points