Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 29 MAY MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cruzador
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Slim Jannie 2 57.5 1 0.00 1.5 76 70 76 +0 2 Axl 3 55.5 2 0.05 2.5 69 64 64 -5 3 Son Of Zeus 3 58.0 3 1.55 2.5 74 69 69 -5 4 Cruzador 6 59.5 4 2.80 0.0 77 77 77 +0 5 Caitlyns Boy 2 59.5 5 3.05 1.5 80 74 74 -6 6 Wind Sock 3 52.5 6 3.80 2.5 63 58 58 -5 7 Russian Empire 5 56.0 7 3.90 0.0 73 70 70 -3 8 Madame Vicki 2 59.0 8 3.95 1.5 79 73 73 -6 9 Bethel 6 56.0 9 6.45 0.0 70 70 70 +0 10 Sand Bank 2 61.0 10 6.95 1.5 83 77 77 -6 11 Uncle Ticky Bird 2 58.0 11 15.20 1.5 77 71 71 -6 99 Kilmonivaig 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Kuznetsov 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 69 69 +0 99 Pomodoro Magic 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Queen's Wood 3 59.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slim Jannie | 76 | 95 | 76 | +19 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Axl | 69 | 84 | 64 | +20 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Son Of Zeus | 74 | 81 | 69 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Cruzador Line | 77 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Caitlyns Boy | 80 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Wind Sock | 63 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Russian Empire | 73 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Madame Vicki | 79 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bethel | 70 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sand Bank | 83 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Uncle Ticky Bird | 77 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kilmonivaig | - | 56 | 67 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kuznetsov | - | 61 | 69 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pomodoro Magic | - | 53 | 68 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Queen's Wood | - | 74 | 72 | +2 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points