Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT RACE MEETING ON SUNDAY 4TH JUNE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Bardolino
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Turn 5 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 83 79 79 -4 2 Bardolino 2 59.0 2 1.00 0.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Legal Chitchat 3 54.5 3 2.25 2.0 70 66 66 -4 4 Quatermain 2 59.0 4 2.75 0.0 80 78 78 -2 5 Inside Story 4 56.0 5 2.95 0.5 70 71 71 +1 6 Que Shiraz 3 58.5 6 3.70 2.0 75 72 72 -3 7 Silent Trigger 6 59.5 7 3.80 0.0 77 78 78 +1 8 Doubling Up 2 57.5 8 4.20 0.0 77 74 74 -3 99 Katsu 3 57.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Augusta Blue 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Turn | 83 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bardolino Line | 80 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Legal Chitchat | 70 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Quatermain | 80 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Inside Story | 70 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Que Shiraz | 75 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Silent Trigger | 77 | 60 | 78 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Doubling Up | 77 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Katsu | - | 81 | 68 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Augusta Blue | - | 69 | 77 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points