Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Piroshka
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 53.5 1 0.00 2.5 81 79 79 -2 2 Wecangoallnight 2 58.5 2 0.10 1.5 94 91 91 -3 3 Dean Street 3 57.0 3 0.85 2.5 88 86 86 -2 4 Piroshka 5 58.5 4 2.10 0.0 94 94 94 +0 5 Mount Pleasant (AUS 4 57.0 5 2.40 0.0 88 91 91 +3 6 Wyag 2 54.5 6 3.40 1.5 85 83 83 -2 7 All About Al 7 55.0 7 3.80 0.0 84 87 87 +3 7 Barzalona 6 61.5 7 3.80 0.0 97 100 100 +3 9 Admiral Dooley 3 56.0 9 6.05 2.5 86 84 84 -2 10 Tough Terrain 5 54.5 10 6.45 0.0 85 86 86 +1 11 Champion Warrior 3 58.0 11 7.70 2.5 93 88 88 -5 12 Iconic Destination 5 57.0 12 19.70 0.0 91 91 91 +0 99 Bluff On Bluff 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 76 76 +0 99 Street Outlaw 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 89 89 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 81 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Wecangoallnight | 94 | 95 | 91 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Dean Street | 88 | 102 | 86 | +16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Piroshka Line | 94 | 72 | 94 | -22 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Mount Pleasant (AUS) | 88 | 71 | 91 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wyag | 85 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | All About Al | 84 | 78 | 87 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Barzalona | 97 | 66 | 100 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Admiral Dooley | 86 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tough Terrain | 85 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Champion Warrior | 93 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Iconic Destination | 91 | 78 | 91 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bluff On Bluff | - | 80 | 76 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Street Outlaw | - | 78 | 89 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points