Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: ALESIAN CHIEF (2022) MR 110 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Forever Mine
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Silvano's Dasher     3    60.0    1    0.00     1.0   110   105          110   +0
2    African Skyline      6    54.0    2    0.60     0.0   98    100          100   +2
3    Forever Mine         4    59.5    3    1.00     0.5   109   109          109   +0
4    Captain Fontane      4    59.5    4    1.10     0.5   109   109          109   +0
5    Vanderbilt           3    57.0    5    2.80     1.0   104   101          101   -3
6    Bowie                7    53.0    6    3.30     0.0   96    94           94    -2
7    Battle Force         4    59.5    7    3.80     0.5   109   106          106   -3
8    Look For Hounds      4    59.0    8    4.10     0.5   108   105          105   -3
9    Russian Rock         4    59.0    9    5.30     0.5   108   104          104   -4
10   Cartel Captain       5    57.0    10   5.90     0.0   104   101          101   -3
11   Royal Victory        5    59.5    11   6.00     0.0   112   106          106   -6
12   Airways Law          4    58.5    12   13.80    0.5   110   103          103   -7
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Silvano's Dasher 110 113 110 +3 1.0 -
2 African Skyline 98 98 100 -2 0.0 -
3 Forever Mine Line 109 105 109 -4 0.5
4 Captain Fontane 109 109 109 ✓ Match 0.5 -
5 Vanderbilt 104 103 101 +2 1.0 -
6 Bowie 96 82 94 -12 0.0 -
7 Battle Force 109 109 106 +3 0.5 -
8 Look For Hounds 108 104 105 -1 0.5 -
9 Russian Rock 108 105 104 +1 0.5 -
10 Cartel Captain 104 88 101 -13 0.0 -
11 Royal Victory 112 124 106 +18 0.0 -
12 Airways Law 110 102 103 -1 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points