Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: PMB & MIDLANDS CHAMBER OF BUSINESS PRESIDENT'S CUP FM 82 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lady Serena
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kailene 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 85 79 85 +0 2 Lady Serena 3 59.0 2 2.00 1.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Valerias Dream 3 59.5 3 2.10 1.0 87 81 81 -6 4 Maria Corolina 4 59.5 4 2.15 0.5 81 82 82 +1 5 Alittlebitnaughty 4 52.0 5 2.20 0.5 66 67 67 +1 6 Family Favourite 3 59.5 6 2.50 1.0 81 80 80 -1 7 Devils And Dust 2 55.0 7 4.40 0.0 75 71 71 -4 8 Perfect Trust 7 54.5 8 4.60 0.0 71 70 70 -1 9 Mvulazana 3 60.5 9 5.70 1.0 83 80 80 -3 99 Morgan La Fay 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kailene | 85 | 79 | 85 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Serena Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Valerias Dream | 87 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Maria Corolina | 81 | 81 | 82 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Alittlebitnaughty | 66 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Family Favourite | 81 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Devils And Dust | 75 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Perfect Trust | 71 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mvulazana | 83 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Morgan La Fay | - | 98 | 75 | +23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points