Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
All The Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Moya Wa Laliga 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 70 70 70 +0 2 The Gliding Fish 6 60.0 2 1.60 0.0 70 74 74 +4 3 All The Time 3 58.0 3 2.20 2.0 66 66 66 +0 4 Senor Garcia 3 57.0 4 2.45 2.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Anotherdayinafrica 6 53.5 5 2.75 0.0 57 61 61 +4 6 Joshua Hotsnake 3 58.5 6 3.15 2.0 67 67 67 +0 7 Bless Me Fred 6 58.5 7 3.25 0.0 70 71 71 +1 8 Auld Mug 3 56.5 8 4.65 2.0 62 63 63 +1 9 Walton Hall 5 51.0 9 4.70 0.0 51 56 56 +5 10 Giambattista 3 57.5 10 5.30 2.0 65 65 65 +0 11 Shell Seeker 3 55.5 11 7.00 2.0 61 61 61 +0 12 High Velocity 4 58.0 12 8.10 2.5 66 65 65 -1 13 Aspoestertjie 5 60.0 13 8.15 0.0 72 74 74 +2 14 Zululanga 3 58.0 14 8.65 2.0 68 66 66 -2 15 Mccartney 3 56.5 15 8.75 2.0 63 63 63 +0 16 Magwinya 2 60.5 16 9.15 1.0 73 73 73 +0 99 Eau De Vie 2 56.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Maserati Roar 3 61.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moya Wa Laliga | 70 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Gliding Fish | 70 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | All The Time Line | 66 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Senor Garcia | 64 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Anotherdayinafrica | 57 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Joshua Hotsnake | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bless Me Fred | 70 | 62 | 71 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Auld Mug | 62 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Walton Hall | 51 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Giambattista | 65 | 87 | 65 | +22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Shell Seeker | 61 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | High Velocity | 66 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Aspoestertjie | 72 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Zululanga | 68 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Mccartney | 63 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 16 | Magwinya | 73 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Eau De Vie | - | 50 | 65 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Maserati Roar | - | 69 | 72 | -3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points