Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: 4RACING.TV MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Stormy Seas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Stormy Seas 4 57.0 1 0.00 2.5 76 76 76 +0 2 Covert Operator 6 56.0 2 0.10 0.0 74 79 79 +5 3 Successful Secret 4 54.0 3 0.20 2.5 75 70 70 -5 4 Iron Sky 3 55.0 4 0.90 2.0 74 73 73 -1 5 Axel Collins 5 56.0 5 1.25 0.0 76 79 79 +3 6 Siberian Steel 3 58.0 6 1.50 2.0 80 79 79 -1 7 What A Honey 3 60.5 7 1.75 2.0 83 84 84 +1 8 I Am Regal 5 57.5 8 2.75 0.0 79 82 82 +3 9 Bronco Blitz 3 59.0 9 3.00 2.0 80 81 81 +1 10 Silver Mensa 2 56.5 10 11.00 1.0 77 78 78 +1 11 Existentialist 2 59.0 11 13.50 1.0 82 83 83 +1 99 Captain Dizzy 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Seas Line | 76 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 2.5 | ||
| 2 | Covert Operator | 74 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Successful Secret | 75 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Iron Sky | 74 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Axel Collins | 76 | 55 | 79 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Siberian Steel | 80 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | What A Honey | 83 | 97 | 84 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | I Am Regal | 79 | 75 | 82 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bronco Blitz | 80 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Silver Mensa | 77 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Existentialist | 82 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Dizzy | - | 96 | 82 | +14 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points