Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: Hollywoodbets Dolphins CUP TRIAL (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Lord William
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winchester Mansion 3 55.5 1 0.00 2.0 103 102 102 -1 2 Quasiforsure 4 59.0 2 3.10 1.0 110 113 113 +3 3 Lord William 2 55.5 3 4.10 0.0 107 107 107 +0 4 Cape Eagle 7 54.5 4 5.40 0.0 100 104 104 +4 5 Rockpool 2 56.5 5 6.70 0.0 109 108 108 -1 6 Union Square 2 60.0 6 7.75 0.0 116 115 115 -1 7 Litigation 3 60.0 7 8.25 2.0 112 111 111 -1 8 Silvano's Timer 4 58.0 8 8.55 1.0 108 109 109 +1 9 Shoemaker 2 59.0 9 10.25 0.0 114 113 113 -1 10 Flying Bull 4 55.5 10 22.75 1.0 103 104 104 +1 11 Global Impact 2 54.0 11 24.45 0.0 88 103 103 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winchester Mansion | 103 | 129 | 102 | +27 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quasiforsure | 110 | 116 | 113 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lord William Line | 107 | 106 | 107 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Cape Eagle | 100 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rockpool | 109 | 104 | 108 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Union Square | 116 | 110 | 115 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Litigation | 112 | 113 | 111 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silvano's Timer | 108 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shoemaker | 114 | 109 | 113 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Flying Bull | 103 | 98 | 104 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Global Impact | 88 | 74 | 103 | -29 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points