Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: SplashOut MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Flaming Drum
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Green With Envy 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 61 6 +6 2 Master Josh 2 60.0 2 0.15 0.0 81 69 71 -10 3 Down By The River 2 56.0 3 0.25 0.0 - 61 61 +61 4 Sir William 3 60.0 4 3.05 1.0 66 69 69 +3 5 Jet Bund 2 56.0 5 3.35 0.0 - 62 62 +62 6 Future Of Energy 5 58.5 6 5.65 0.0 72 66 66 -6 7 Give Us A Smile 2 56.0 7 6.75 0.0 - 61 61 +61 8 Flaming Drum 3 60.0 8 7.25 1.0 67 67 67 +0 9 Fairfield 2 53.0 9 8.35 0.0 - 55 55 +55 10 Regina Argento 2 56.0 10 8.40 0.0 - 61 61 +61 11 Gijima Mfana 6 60.0 11 9.90 0.0 55 69 69 +14 12 Mister Lincoln 3 60.0 12 10.50 1.0 67 67 67 +0 13 Tibbott Bourke 4 56.0 13 13.90 0.5 - 60 60 +60 99 Zabadak 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Majestic Reign 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green With Envy | - | 127 | 6 | +121 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Master Josh | 81 | 97 | 71 | +26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Down By The River | - | 95 | 61 | +34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sir William | 66 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Bund | - | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Future Of Energy | 72 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Give Us A Smile | - | 67 | 61 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flaming Drum Line | 67 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 1.0 | ||
| 9 | Fairfield | - | 69 | 55 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Regina Argento | - | 55 | 61 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Gijima Mfana | 55 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mister Lincoln | 67 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Tibbott Bourke | - | 51 | 60 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Zabadak | - | 52 | 66 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Majestic Reign | - | 75 | 67 | +8 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points