Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.tabgold.co.za MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gilda Gray
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Justfortheepenny 5 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 58 56 58 +0 2 L'Ultimo 2 61.0 2 0.40 0.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Gilda Gray 3 58.0 3 0.50 1.5 62 62 62 +0 4 Riccardo 7 60.5 4 0.70 0.0 67 70 70 +3 5 Vengeance Forever 3 56.5 5 1.40 1.5 59 57 57 -2 6 Exceed Expectation 3 53.0 6 2.00 1.5 55 50 50 -5 7 Rodriguez 6 61.5 7 2.60 0.0 69 69 69 +0 8 Hallerbos 3 59.5 8 4.90 1.5 65 60 60 -5 9 Barbatti 3 54.0 9 6.60 1.5 54 49 49 -5 99 Trusova 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justfortheepenny | 58 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | L'Ultimo | 71 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gilda Gray Line | 62 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Riccardo | 67 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Vengeance Forever | 59 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Exceed Expectation | 55 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rodriguez | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hallerbos | 65 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Barbatti | 54 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Trusova | - | 78 | 65 | +13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points