Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Birdwatcher
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Malcolm's Dream      6    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   62    60           62    +0
2    Forged In Ice        3    55.5    2    1.05     1.0   57    57           57    +0
3    Birdwatcher          5    55.5    3    3.15     0.0   57    57           57    +0
4    Conchita             4    57.0    4    3.75     0.5   60    58           58    -2
5    Run Again            3    52.0    5    4.25     1.0   49    47           47    -2
6    Green Dream          5    59.0    6    4.50     0.0   67    62           62    -5
7    Shaken Not Stirred   4    56.0    7    5.20     0.5   58    55           55    -3
8    Gimme A Lullaby      3    53.5    8    8.80     1.0   53    49           49    -4
9    October Song         3    60.0    9    10.00    1.0   66    62           62    -4
99   Chateau Futura       2    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Malcolm's Dream 62 88 62 +26 0.0 -
2 Forged In Ice 57 57 57 ✓ Match 1.0 -
3 Birdwatcher Line 57 53 57 -4 0.0
4 Conchita 60 56 58 -2 0.5 -
5 Run Again 49 48 47 +1 1.0 -
6 Green Dream 67 60 62 -2 0.0 -
7 Shaken Not Stirred 58 55 55 ✓ Match 0.5 -
8 Gimme A Lullaby 53 59 49 +10 1.0 -
9 October Song 66 64 62 +2 1.0 -
99 Chateau Futura - 59 62 -3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points