Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TRACK AND BALL - DANMA MR 92 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Usa's Hope
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Beechamwood Boy 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 90 94 90 +0 2 Passage Of Power 6 57.0 2 0.25 0.0 86 90 90 +4 3 Usa's Hope 2 59.5 3 0.75 1.0 93 93 93 +0 4 Fateful Day 3 58.5 4 0.95 2.0 89 89 89 +0 5 Princekresh 4 52.5 5 2.15 2.5 77 76 76 -1 6 Patronage 4 54.5 6 3.05 2.5 84 80 80 -4 7 Shampompo Shampizi 7 59.0 7 3.45 0.0 90 94 94 +4 8 Return To Russia 2 54.0 8 3.50 1.0 82 82 82 +0 9 Naarah 3 60.0 9 3.60 2.0 95 92 92 -3 10 Aga Heat 3 54.5 10 4.10 2.0 80 81 81 +1 11 Certainly 2 53.5 11 5.40 1.0 81 81 81 +0 12 Lady Heist 2 58.0 12 6.20 1.0 90 90 90 +0 13 Theory Of Flight 4 56.5 13 12.50 2.5 93 84 84 -9 99 Go Man Go 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 90 90 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beechamwood Boy | 90 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Passage Of Power | 86 | 76 | 90 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Usa's Hope Line | 93 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Fateful Day | 89 | 93 | 89 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Princekresh | 77 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Patronage | 84 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Shampompo Shampizi | 90 | 93 | 94 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Return To Russia | 82 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Naarah | 95 | 87 | 92 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Aga Heat | 80 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Certainly | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lady Heist | 90 | 97 | 90 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Theory Of Flight | 93 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Go Man Go | - | 85 | 90 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points