Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING LEADERS IN FIXED ODDS CAPE B STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Mulberry Street
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Miss Marguerite 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 92 97 97 +5 2 Fusillade 4 55.5 2 0.50 2.5 82 83 83 +1 3 Mulberry Street 3 52.5 3 0.55 2.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Fun Zone 5 60.0 4 1.30 0.0 92 97 97 +5 5 Sonic Burst 4 57.0 5 2.55 2.5 85 86 86 +1 6 What A State 3 57.0 6 3.30 2.0 83 87 87 +4 7 She's My Captain 3 53.0 7 7.30 2.0 75 79 79 +4 8 Spywing 2 57.0 8 8.05 1.0 85 89 89 +4 9 Little Miss Pink 6 54.0 9 8.25 0.0 78 85 85 +7 10 Inara's Dynasty 2 60.0 10 15.50 1.0 91 95 95 +4 11 Distinction 2 60.0 11 17.50 1.0 93 95 95 +2 12 Country Time 5 54.0 12 35.75 0.0 81 85 85 +4 99 Enemy Territory (IR 3 54.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss Marguerite | 92 | 91 | 97 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fusillade | 82 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mulberry Street Line | 78 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Fun Zone | 92 | 96 | 97 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sonic Burst | 85 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | What A State | 83 | 82 | 87 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | She's My Captain | 75 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Spywing | 85 | 85 | 89 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Little Miss Pink | 78 | 66 | 85 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Inara's Dynasty | 91 | 89 | 95 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Distinction | 93 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Country Time | 81 | 62 | 85 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Enemy Territory (IRE) | - | 99 | 81 | +18 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points