Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Steinbeck
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gentleman Joe 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 - 75 6 +6 2 Steinbeck 3 60.0 2 0.75 4.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Captive Moon 6 60.0 3 0.85 0.0 - 87 87 +87 4 Navy Strength 3 60.0 4 1.35 4.0 74 78 78 +4 5 Futurismo 3 60.0 5 3.35 4.0 - 76 76 +76 6 Al Bugatti 3 60.0 6 4.55 4.0 72 75 75 +3 7 Petrossian 3 60.0 7 4.80 4.0 - 75 75 +75 8 Naushon 3 60.0 8 4.85 4.0 - 75 75 +75 9 Admiral's Ransom 3 60.0 9 6.05 4.0 67 75 75 +8 10 Guy Alexander 3 60.0 10 6.30 4.0 - 75 75 +75 11 Memory Lane 3 60.0 11 6.80 4.0 62 75 75 +13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gentleman Joe | - | 83 | 6 | +77 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Steinbeck Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Captive Moon | - | 75 | 87 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Navy Strength | 74 | 97 | 78 | +19 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Futurismo | - | 60 | 76 | -16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Al Bugatti | 72 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Petrossian | - | 61 | 75 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Naushon | - | 68 | 75 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Admiral's Ransom | 67 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Guy Alexander | - | 72 | 75 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Memory Lane | 62 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points