Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 26 JUNE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Bethel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Questor              2    57.5    1    0.00     1.0   90    71           90    +0
2    Queen's Wood         3    59.5    2    0.50     2.0   77    73           73    -4
3    Bethel               6    56.0    3    0.75     0.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Xplicit Content      4    53.0    4    1.00     2.5   81    59           71    -10
5    Angel Deb's          3    61.5    5    4.25     2.0   81    77           77    -4
6    Russian Empire       5    56.0    6    4.35     0.0   71    70           70    -1
7    Narcos               3    59.0    7    4.85     2.0   76    72           72    -4
8    Indus Knight         3    57.0    8    4.95     2.0   72    68           68    -4
9    Siberian Fox         2    52.5    9    6.20     1.0   65    61           61    -4
10   Absolu Noir          8    52.5    10   6.30     0.0   56    63           63    +7
11   Uncle Ticky Bird     2    57.0    11   6.55     1.0   74    70           70    -4
12   Cool Winter          2    60.5    12   8.80     1.0   81    77           77    -4
99   Kuznetsov            2    57.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     71           71    +0
99   The Winter Lake      4    57.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     68           68    +0
99   Pomodoro Magic       5    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     67           67    +0
99   Toureiro             5    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
99   Dawn Of A New Era    4    58.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     69           69    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Questor 90 94 90 +4 1.0 -
2 Queen's Wood 77 74 73 +1 2.0 -
3 Bethel Line 70 76 70 +6 0.0
4 Xplicit Content 81 58 71 -13 2.5 -
5 Angel Deb's 81 78 77 +1 2.0 -
6 Russian Empire 71 53 70 -17 0.0 -
7 Narcos 76 86 72 +14 2.0 -
8 Indus Knight 72 70 68 +2 2.0 -
9 Siberian Fox 65 62 61 +1 1.0 -
10 Absolu Noir 56 50 63 -13 0.0 -
11 Uncle Ticky Bird 74 71 70 +1 1.0 -
12 Cool Winter 81 78 77 +1 1.0 -
99 Kuznetsov - 61 71 -10 1.0 -
99 The Winter Lake - 87 68 +19 2.5 -
99 Pomodoro Magic - 53 67 -14 0.0 -
99 Toureiro - 66 62 +4 0.0 -
99 Dawn Of A New Era - 78 69 +9 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points