Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 26 JUNE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bethel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Questor 2 57.5 1 0.00 1.0 90 71 90 +0 2 Queen's Wood 3 59.5 2 0.50 2.0 77 73 73 -4 3 Bethel 6 56.0 3 0.75 0.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Xplicit Content 4 53.0 4 1.00 2.5 81 59 71 -10 5 Angel Deb's 3 61.5 5 4.25 2.0 81 77 77 -4 6 Russian Empire 5 56.0 6 4.35 0.0 71 70 70 -1 7 Narcos 3 59.0 7 4.85 2.0 76 72 72 -4 8 Indus Knight 3 57.0 8 4.95 2.0 72 68 68 -4 9 Siberian Fox 2 52.5 9 6.20 1.0 65 61 61 -4 10 Absolu Noir 8 52.5 10 6.30 0.0 56 63 63 +7 11 Uncle Ticky Bird 2 57.0 11 6.55 1.0 74 70 70 -4 12 Cool Winter 2 60.5 12 8.80 1.0 81 77 77 -4 99 Kuznetsov 2 57.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 71 71 +0 99 The Winter Lake 4 57.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 68 68 +0 99 Pomodoro Magic 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Toureiro 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Dawn Of A New Era 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Questor | 90 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Queen's Wood | 77 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bethel Line | 70 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Xplicit Content | 81 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Angel Deb's | 81 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Russian Empire | 71 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Narcos | 76 | 86 | 72 | +14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Indus Knight | 72 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Siberian Fox | 65 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Absolu Noir | 56 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Uncle Ticky Bird | 74 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Cool Winter | 81 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kuznetsov | - | 61 | 71 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Winter Lake | - | 87 | 68 | +19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pomodoro Magic | - | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Toureiro | - | 66 | 62 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dawn Of A New Era | - | 78 | 69 | +9 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points