Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING 240 MR 85 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Captain Dizzy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Double Charge 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 92 80 +0 2 Captain Dizzy 4 57.0 2 1.25 6.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Ravensthorpe 3 56.5 3 1.50 5.0 85 80 80 -5 4 Persistance 3 52.5 4 2.70 5.0 77 72 72 -5 5 Kalahari Ferrari 3 60.0 5 2.90 5.0 92 87 87 -5 6 Transact 3 56.5 6 3.40 5.0 85 80 80 -5 7 Baltimore Jack 5 55.0 7 3.60 0.0 75 87 87 +12 8 Fighter 5 54.0 8 4.85 0.0 73 85 85 +12 9 What A Bolt 3 53.0 9 6.85 5.0 78 73 73 -5 10 Winter Mosaic 3 58.5 10 8.35 5.0 92 84 84 -8 11 Bonanza 3 54.5 11 11.60 5.0 81 76 76 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Charge | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Dizzy Line | 79 | 96 | 79 | +17 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Ravensthorpe | 85 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Persistance | 77 | 50 | 72 | -22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kalahari Ferrari | 92 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Transact | 85 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Baltimore Jack | 75 | 72 | 87 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fighter | 73 | 69 | 85 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | What A Bolt | 78 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Winter Mosaic | 92 | 94 | 84 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bonanza | 81 | 57 | 76 | -19 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points