Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Barney Mcgrew
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 58.5 1 0.00 2.0 86 88 88 +2 2 Michael Faraday 2 55.5 2 2.25 1.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Barney Mcgrew 4 58.5 3 2.35 2.5 87 87 87 +0 4 Hammies Hero 2 60.0 4 2.40 1.0 92 93 93 +1 5 Bluff On Bluff 3 54.0 5 3.15 2.0 78 79 79 +1 6 Veldskoen (AUS) 4 55.5 6 4.15 2.5 81 81 81 +0 7 Max The Otter 2 55.5 7 4.45 1.0 84 84 84 +0 8 Sun Dazed 6 60.0 8 4.85 0.0 90 95 95 +5 9 Champion Warrior 3 58.5 9 4.90 2.0 89 88 88 -1 10 Tchaikovsky 6 58.5 10 7.15 0.0 87 92 92 +5 11 Mount Pleasant (AUS 4 58.5 11 12.15 2.5 87 87 87 +0 12 Dragonfly 3 58.5 12 15.15 2.0 88 88 88 +0 13 Spring Awakening 4 61.5 13 18.90 2.5 94 93 93 -1 14 Rod The Mod 3 55.5 14 27.90 2.0 82 82 82 +0 15 Elusive Trader 6 54.5 15 34.40 0.0 77 84 84 +7 99 Dance Variety 2 55.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 86 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Michael Faraday | 84 | 68 | 84 | -16 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Barney Mcgrew Line | 87 | 69 | 87 | -18 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Hammies Hero | 92 | 69 | 93 | -24 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bluff On Bluff | 78 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Veldskoen (AUS) | 81 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Max The Otter | 84 | 72 | 84 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sun Dazed | 90 | 64 | 95 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Champion Warrior | 89 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tchaikovsky | 87 | 81 | 92 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mount Pleasant (AUS) | 87 | 71 | 87 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Dragonfly | 88 | 71 | 88 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Spring Awakening | 94 | 91 | 93 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 14 | Rod The Mod | 82 | 90 | 82 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Elusive Trader | 77 | 72 | 84 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dance Variety | - | 114 | 84 | +30 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points